What a 12-Stall DC Fast Charging Site Can Earn Over 10 Years

Numbers cut through abstraction. Below is the LCFS credit revenue schedule for a representative twelve-stall DC fast charging site in Southern California — 250 kW per stall, 3,000 kW of installed capacity, 400 kWh per day per stall of average utilization, modeled against a stable $0.06 per kWh blended LCFS rate post-fee.

The site

• 12 stalls × 250 kW = 3,000 kW total capacity
• Average utilization: 400 kWh per stall per day
• Blended LCFS rate (assumed, post-fee): $0.060 per kWh
• Eligibility horizon: 10 years

The schedule

Year 1 LCFS revenue lands at roughly $105,000. From there, we model a 15% annual growth rate, reflecting tightening LCFS targets and the corresponding credit-price firmness over the eligibility window.

• Year 1 — $105,120
• Year 2 — $120,888
• Year 3 — $139,021
• Year 4 — $159,874
• Year 5 — $183,855
• Year 6 — $211,433
• Year 7 — $243,148
• Year 8 — $279,620
• Year 9 — $321,563
• Year 10 — $369,797

Ten-year LCFS credit revenue clears $2.13M on this single pad, before stacking FCI capacity credits or any front-loaded incentive (CALeVIP, 30C).

"On a twelve-stall pad, ten years of LCFS credits often exceeds the original installed cost of the chargers."

Sensitivity

Utilization is the variable that matters most. A pad running 250 kWh per stall per day rather than 400 produces meaningfully less Year 1 revenue, but the growth shape of the credit stack is largely unchanged. Conversely, sites running above 500 kWh per stall per day — common on well-located retail Superchargers — exceed the model materially.

Model your own site

Send us your site addresses, charger counts, rated power, and a rough utilization estimate. We'll return a year-by-year LCFS credit revenue schedule built on the same inputs, customized to your equipment and location.

Credit prices fluctuate; actual revenue varies by site, utilization, and market conditions. Figures are illustrative.